eventForecasting and Simulation [Forecasting and Simulation] (Ü)
person Ulf Brefeld, Soham Majumder

Next appointment: Next week Tuesday at 14:15

Dates

weekly | Tuesday | 14:15 - 15:45 | 06.04.2026 - 10.07.2026 | C 14.001 Seminarraum | blackboard or whiteboard necessary

Curriculum context

Written academic performance under supervision (90 Minutes)
Handwritten in examination rooms at Leuphana
Date of assessment: Thursday, 30.07.2026, 10:15, room C HS 3
Resit date: : Keine selbständige Anmeldung zum Wiederholungstermin möglich. info_outline
Thursday, 17.09.2026, 10:15, room C 14.027 Seminarraum
Anzeige von Anmeldebeginn und -ende systembedingt. Selbständige Anmeldung nur zum Prüfungstermin und nicht zum Wiederholungstermin möglich.

Organizational information

Exercise
Vollständig Präsenz
2
centralized list procedure without participant limit
30

Registration

centralized list procedure without participant limit

Registration ends 07.4.2026 at 23:59 h

You will register automatically for this course if you register for one of the following courses:
Forecasting and Simulation (Ulf Brefeld, Soham Majumder)

Persons

Content

Englisch
Forecasting and Simulation
none

The module provides a survey of the theory and application of data-based computational techniques to forecast and simulate data with temporal dependencies. Selected statistical approaches dealing with the special role of time in modeling will be discussed in detail. Topics of interest include:
- stationary and non-stationary time series (ARIMA models)
- conditional heteroscedastic time series (ARCH and GARCH models)
- multivariate time series (VAR and VARMA models)
- state space models (Kalman Filter)

On successful completion of the module, students will have gained knowledge on selected methods of forecasting and simulating data with temporal dependencies and will be able to use these methods in various applications.

If classroom teaching will not be possible, PowerPoint slides with added audio comments, R source code for practical tasks (as appropriate also with audio comments) and video conferencing with ZOOM are used to carry out the lectures.

Evaluation

This course has not been registered for teaching evaluation yet.

Further information on teaching evaluation: https://www.leuphana.de/en/teaching/quality-management/evaluation/course-evaluation.html

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